Discussion summary

Many discuss the shift towards local AI, emphasizing improved hardware and tools like QMD. Some highlight challenges such as UX, scope limitations, and hardware constraints.

What the discussion says

  • Local AI could reduce reliance on cloud services as hardware improves.
  • Tools like QMD facilitate local model deployment.
  • Challenges include UX, hardware limitations, and model scope.
  • Some see local AI as democratizing access.
  • Concerns about hardware security and access restrictions.
A lot of AI aspects probably don’t need to be permanent cloud services.
latentframe
More important is democratizing AI for the common masses.
shailendra_sis

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  • Hacker News
  • People want local AI, but only if UX is good. Tooling/harness quality may matter as much as model quality.

    I think the future will probably be a hybrid of:

    1. local AI for simple, private, everyday tasks

    2. online AI for very hard or long tasks

    by tzm
  • The UI is already great.

    I can’t wait to run my models locally. The sooner I can do my shit without some American mega corp gulping down all my data, the better.

    by Gud
  • it's a self enforcing loop

    local LLMs builds tool that does exactly what user wants, how it wants it, which is bext UX

    this becomes AI literacy

    LLMs already nicely bridge the gap form "I want this" to "here's a local page that does it".

    examples of tools i have built that requires almost very low tech knowledge * push a button on my phone to take screenshot in my mac (when i watch videos) * help me exercise, gamify it for me * "help me track time spent online to how it impacts what i do in real life, built a tool that rewards and me points me towads things that make me DO things online" * i want to improve my writing, give me exercises and build addiitonal tools (leading to an "append only" digital keyboard i use to exercise )

    local AI can already create these tools, and no external company is ever going to beat me/the-user because instead of getting features i don't want, or that almost do what i want, or that do something that advantages the company they just do what I want

    Repositories of tools-as-ideas created by others are quite often just index.html and ... that's all? manage data in localstorage, end of it?

    Online inferences is still needed for large data (audio/video/images) processing. For now? we don't know, history suggests we'll have the capabilities to do that locally "soon". Or maybe not :)

    The main issue is "online for collaboration". Not same user across different devices, that is easy. MeteorJS-style approaches (making local copies of part of dbs, reconcile to remote/origin) seems to be an interesting possibility at small scale, since once you have the right primitives in place you can go horizontally everywhere.

  • The Clippy app someone made and posted here a while back is the perfect average person LLM interface;

    https://felixrieseberg.github.io/clippy/

  • Interesting to see this after the recent post about Chrome’s on-device model using up 4gb of storage, which frustrated a lot of people [1].

    I agree local models are great, and it’s cool that Apple has models built in now. But I feel like it basically has to be an OS level feature or users are going to get upset. I’d certainly rather have a small utility call out to OpenAI than download its own model.

    [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48019219

  • The way I interpret the drama over the Chrome model is that for a large chunk of users, perhaps the majority, Chrome is the OS, and this 4GB model will be their OS Level feature for local AI.
  • For image generation, this has already happened. To what degree, I can't tell, as I don't do image generation much so I don't have numbers on Midjourney subscriptions or any other image-AI-as-a-service sites. But civitai.com has become a place where people share their models, based off of Stable Diffusion or other similar bases, with various fine-tunings to achieve desired results. You name it, you can find a model for it at Civitai, and people doing some very creative things with them. (And also a lot of the obvious things, but it's the Internet, what did you expect?)

    I haven't seen a text-based model sharing site spring up yet (perhaps they already have and I don't know about it yet). Civitai, being focused on image-generation, has the obvious advantage that it's easy to show off impressive results from the model on the front page of the website, and judging what someone's home-grown fine-tuned LLM will produce is a lot harder. But at some point I expect a Civitai equivalent site for text models, especially code-based ones, to become popular. That will seriously undercut Anthropic, OpenAI, et al, and will probably force them to find a price equilibrium.

    Because once you're competing with "I spend $2,500 up front on a powerful video card, download an open-source model for free, and then I get pretty much everything I need for free" (additional power cost of running that video card isn't nothing, but probably not noticeable in your power bill compared to what you're already using)... then suddenly $200/month means your customers are thinking "after one year I would have been better off with the homegrown solution". The only way they'll continue to pay $200/month is if Claude/GPT/Gemini/whoever is truly head-and-shoulders above the "pay upfront once for hardware then use it for free afterwards" models available. And that's going to be doable, perhaps, but tough.

  • Civit ai is like 99% porn though. Most production usage of image gen is google or open ai as they are by far the best
    by peab
  • > I haven't seen a text-based model sharing site spring up yet (perhaps they already have and I don't know about it yet)

    Huggingface.

    The reason HF doesn’t also compete for image gen is probably some combination of momentum from Civit AI and HF not wanting to deal with the moderation headache.

  • I think we should separate the private AI discussion from the local AI discussion. The pragmatic choice to run big LLMs is one/several big servers online, but that doesn't mean private companies should be the only ones to run them.

    A self hosted inference solution that offer good tenant isolation guarantees (ideally zero trust) and is easy enough to deploy and maintain (think Plex for AI) would be my choice for privacy. Now to be honest I have done zero research about this and have zero idea how feasible that is, maybe it already exists and there's some discord servers I should join?

    Edit: I don't need to mention it here but what's incredible is that open models are in the ballpark of the best commercial models so supposedly, the hardest part by far is already solved.

  • Another option is verifiably private inference with open source models running inside secure enclaves on the cloud (using NVIDIA confidential computing), and the enclave code is open source and verified via remote attestation upon connection, cryptographically proving that the inference provider cannot see any data. Tinfoil: https://tinfoil.sh/ is a good example of this (disclaimer: i'm the cofounder). You can read more about how this works here: https://docs.tinfoil.sh/verification/verification-in-tinfoil

    >that open models are in the ballpark of the best commercial models

    This is basically true for certain tasks. As an example, chat interfaces are not well poised to take advantage of higher model intelligence than what the best open source models already provide. But coding harnesses still benefit from greater model intelligence and even more so, the reinforcement learning that tightly interlinks the provider's coding harness (claude-code, codex) with the model's tool calling interfaces is another reason for discrepancy in effectiveness even when controlled for model intelligence. The opencode founder (open source coding harness that supports different model providers) was recently complaining about the challenges making the harness work well with different providers: https://x.com/thdxr/status/2053290393727324313

  • The example in the post confirms my theory that for local models to succeed they need to be "good enough", not big enough that they can compete with frontier models.

    They need to be able to do a small task well and they need to be able to run reasonably on consumer-class devices. Even better if they can run on mobile phones.

    In my experiments with local LLMs I noticed that while increasing the size of the model is nice the real thing that turns a barely useless model into something useful is the ability to use tools. Giving my models the ability to search the web and fetch web pages did way more to solve hallucinations than getting a bigger model. And it doesn't have a training cutoff. Sure, the bigger model is probably better at using tools but I often find the smaller models to be good enough.

    by wrxd
  • Will there even be a web to search in the future? These days public access blogs are dying and being replaced with hallucinated AI websites. Sites with original research like Reddit and YouTube are being locked up to prevent 3rd party indexing.

    Knowledge and clean data sets are becoming increasingly valuable, and free community knowledge is drying up. The next big programming language won’t have years of Stack Overflow posts to train on.

    Maybe we will see some kind of licensing deals where owners of good datasets charge you a fee to let your AI search them.

  • It seems like everybody is focused on "LLM"s, a.k.a Large Language Models. One interesting addition to that is fine-tuned- small parameter, distilled, context-dependent small language models that:

    1- Do a particular task with great capability (due to its constrained, limited scope) 2- Do it in such a way, it integrates gracefully in your workflow without ever requiring you to know you are using an LM.

    There is a difference between outsourcing your workflow to AI and actually utilizing it.

    Check this: https://www.distillabs.ai/blog/we-benchmarked-12-small-langu...

  • Eh I think the small model thing is kind of a no-go.

    Reason being is that many workloads for AI are dynamically mixed, where training from multiple subjects comes into play and you just can't know exactly what mix will be required for each task ahead of time.

    I was hoping loras would do this for us as well but they don't really seem to have worked out for llms (compared to in the image/video diffusion space).

    Perhaps some future model will have some sort of "core" that can load/unload portions of itself dynamically at runtime. Like go for a very horizontal architecture/hundreds of MoE and unload/load those paths/weights once a parent value meets or exceeds some minimum, hmmm.

  • For the mainstream audience, the sentiment around local ai today is the same that they had around open source a few decades ago. For a few products, some paid solutions were so much more advanced that open source were very often completely overlooked. Why bother ? And the like. Then we had captive SaaS and other plateforms and now it's obviously wrong for most of us.

    The dependency we have with anthropic and openai for coding for instance is insane. Most accept it because either they don't care, or they just hope chinese will never stop open weights. The business model of open weights is very new, include some power play between countries and labs, and move an absurd amount of money without any concrete oversight from most people.

    It's a very dangerous gamble. Today incredible value is available for nearly everyone. But it may stop without any warning, for reason outside our control.

  • The mainstream audience does not have the faintest idea that "local AI" is even a thing.
  • Disagree with this. When cost becomes an important factor or the free but worse option becomes compelling and accessible (i.e. on device agent via apple style UX), there has been significant user behavior towards local. Think about stuff like removing backgrounds from photos, OCR on PDFs, who uses paid services for casual usage of these things?
  • Exactly this. The assumption that your access will last is very risky. Or that Chinese companies will keep trying to erode the economic viability of American models by open sourcing the reversed engineered models for ever is naive.
  • I don't think it should be local vs cloud AI. I think local AI should be treated as a separate product. local ai should do things that really don't need cloud AI, then cloud AI should be used as a fallback. That would reduce a lot of costs
  • I’m just waiting for the US Government to implement their own local AI. Which will eventually lead to them open sourcing it because it’s tax payer funded and being that the NSA has decades worth of internet data they can train on; open weights would be just as good as any companies…
  • I own 2 5070TI cards in a rig I would gladly donate time to for a distributed training model effort. The kicker is the training data. I would want to gate the data to anything before 2022. I don’t know how to coordinate that, but I would really like to be involved in something like this. SETI, for LLMs.
  • > It's a very dangerous gamble. Today incredible value is available for nearly everyone. But it may stop without any warning, for reason outside our control.

    What stops you from running the best open weighted LLMs currently available on consumer grade hardware for the rest of time? They're good enough for 95% of use cases, and they don't have a used by date. From what I can see, the "danger" is not having the next tier that comes out, but the impact of that is very low.

  • What is the business model of open weight AI? I don't think there is any. At best it can serve as an advertisement for the more advanced models you sell.

    The huge difference to open source is that you can't just train an LLM with free time and motivation. You need lots of data and a lot of compute.

    I sure want to be wrong on that, I definitely like the open-weight version of the future more

  • Cool, well let me know when Opus 4.5 level performance is available locally, at speeds that serve everyday use, and 100% I'm right there with you.

    Until then, I'm going to keep sending my JSON to the server farm in Virginia because it's the only place that can serve me a model that actually works for my uses.

  • Opus is probably somewhere in the 5TB parameter range and needs terabytes of GPU memory.

    The economics of running SOTA locally just does not make sense, because you’re not using it 24/7 at 80%+ utilization while the cloud based providers can.

  • Depending on a task, there are already models matching Opus 4.5. Just not in everything. But you can always swap a local model for a particular task.
  • Should be relatively quickly, 1-2 years for local models to catch up to today's SOTA.

    Of course then you'll be asking "uhh lemme know when Opus 6.8 level performance is available locally". People are never happy.

    Gemma 4 and Qwen 3.6 are legit beast models that would steamroll every API offering from 2 years ago.

  • The article is not about those use cases. There are plenty of use cases for which local models are already pretty good
  • DeepSeek V4 with 1 million token context window is pretty powerful, although still not there. There's hope that Opus 4.5 level performance locally is not that far away.