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Hacker News

ARC-AGI is a beauty contest for pigs where the pig's owners compete to see who can apply the lipstick most convincingly.

by albatross79

Why is there no Kimi 3, and GLM5.2 didn't run the third benchmark? I am more interested in knowing the abilities of open weight models.

by codedokode

> Only systems which required less than $10,000 to run are shown. (Notes[1])

Am I lost or are their many models on this ranking (Opus 5 included) that clear this?

by tudelo

ARC-AGI-3 launched a few months ago which would suggest that prior models likely had no knowledge of ARC-AGI-3 or training on similar challenges.

I could be wrong, but given the large outsized jump solely in the ARC-AGI-3 score, it would suggest that the model didn't become significantly more intelligent overall, but significantly better at solving those specific problems.

This could mean one of two things (I think):

- Opus 5 was not benchmaxxed on ARC-AGI-3, but has benefited significantly from discussions about the various challenges and mechanisms deployed in ARC-AGI-3 such that it has far better heuristics to solve its challenges.

- Anthropic looking for buzz around their latest model picked a well regarded benchmark with significant room for improvement and focused some of Opus 5's training compute on ARC-AGI-3-style problems.

Or it could be some combination of both. Personally, given how much of an outlier the ARC-AGI-3 jump is I struggle to see it being the product of a significant improvement in general intelligence.

by kypro

Why Anthropic models are always leapfrogging these benchmarks, but in real life work I do feel like after 3 weeks I am back to Claude Opus 4.5? (regardless of the model I use, Fable was exception for 1 day when it was released)

by throwaw12

The last time I checked, for the arc agi 3 leaderboard, the models are given a simple prompt and the game input and asked to play the game, no harness/tools. If harnesses were allowed, I would expect the benchmark to be saturated. There were a few harness attempts, but they could only be evaluated on the public set, so it's not an apples to apples comparison.

My guess is, the large score jump for Opus 5 is mainly because of getting the right RL envs for training.

It's becoming harder and more expensive to build and run meaningful benchmarks, it would be interesting to see what they do with arc agi 4, maybe just give it gameboy/steam games and see how they compare vs a human baseline? The latency requirements and very long horizons in games could be an interesting challenge for llms.

by dinp

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  • Hacker News
  • Also top on the freshly released Frontier-Bench, by a large margin: https://www.frontierbench.ai/
  • ARC-AGI is a beauty contest for pigs where the pig's owners compete to see who can apply the lipstick most convincingly.
  • Why is there no Kimi 3, and GLM5.2 didn't run the third benchmark? I am more interested in knowing the abilities of open weight models.
  • > Only systems which required less than $10,000 to run are shown. (Notes[1])

    Am I lost or are their many models on this ranking (Opus 5 included) that clear this?

  • ARC-AGI-3 launched a few months ago which would suggest that prior models likely had no knowledge of ARC-AGI-3 or training on similar challenges.

    I could be wrong, but given the large outsized jump solely in the ARC-AGI-3 score, it would suggest that the model didn't become significantly more intelligent overall, but significantly better at solving those specific problems.

    This could mean one of two things (I think):

    - Opus 5 was not benchmaxxed on ARC-AGI-3, but has benefited significantly from discussions about the various challenges and mechanisms deployed in ARC-AGI-3 such that it has far better heuristics to solve its challenges.

    - Anthropic looking for buzz around their latest model picked a well regarded benchmark with significant room for improvement and focused some of Opus 5's training compute on ARC-AGI-3-style problems.

    Or it could be some combination of both. Personally, given how much of an outlier the ARC-AGI-3 jump is I struggle to see it being the product of a significant improvement in general intelligence.

  • Why Anthropic models are always leapfrogging these benchmarks, but in real life work I do feel like after 3 weeks I am back to Claude Opus 4.5? (regardless of the model I use, Fable was exception for 1 day when it was released)
  • The last time I checked, for the arc agi 3 leaderboard, the models are given a simple prompt and the game input and asked to play the game, no harness/tools. If harnesses were allowed, I would expect the benchmark to be saturated. There were a few harness attempts, but they could only be evaluated on the public set, so it's not an apples to apples comparison.

    My guess is, the large score jump for Opus 5 is mainly because of getting the right RL envs for training.

    It's becoming harder and more expensive to build and run meaningful benchmarks, it would be interesting to see what they do with arc agi 4, maybe just give it gameboy/steam games and see how they compare vs a human baseline? The latency requirements and very long horizons in games could be an interesting challenge for llms.

    by dinp