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  • Hacker News
  • Lima, Peru... daytime and night time temps are +8-+3 (single day, might be the coldest of the year) degrees celcius, usually should be like 18-16 celcius daytime, it's at 26-21 (single day, might be the coldest of the year) with +6-+8 being the most common... already past mid winter and there hasn't been a single "cold" day yet.

    Pelicans are mass starving so are sea lions as cold based fish have left the shores, no long sleeves or sheets needed to sleep, it's been summer prety much all year... never seen this in 31 years of life... supposedly 98 was bad although this one is projected to be worse... summer temps might hit 39-34 celcius on average if things keep going this way when normally you have 31-27 degrees during summer, considering most houses don't have air conditioning I can definitely see a lot of heat related deaths happening and a potential food crisis forming.

    by dev1ycan
  • I am also up in the mountains. I confirm it's the warmest summer for four consecutive times. Something happened in 2023. We may call it a tipping point. Although I enjoy milder winters (goodbye skiing), the summers are not mild anymore.
    by tsoukase
  • Meanwhile West Antarctic ice shelf barely clutching on.

    No direct link, but click the "anomaly" map button just underneath the map. Hello all these similar 10+ °C anomalies that have sat around. Some colder spots too that have hung around! But yikes. https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world

    by jauntywundrkind
  • Sorry, just below the graph, just above the map.

    I at least think of El Nino kind of running into South, building up in the Pacific. But the heat cuts across, then down, and pools in Antarctica here, is how I read it.

    by jauntywundrkind
  • People really don’t appreciate yet. How really bad this situation is and will be. They’re talking about 1.76°C higher temperatures next year because of this El Niño. Those are climate change temperatures that are not supposed to be around until 2035. So it’ll give us a sneak peek into our future.

    But the biggest effect and this is noted by many insurance companies now is going to be in places like India.

    But this is something the world has never seen and I mean that literally so I don’t expect it to be anything but really bad and you should be ready.

    by Noaidi
  • Our future is extinction regardless of what we do. It’s a matter of timescale. Plagues, wars, political unrest, asteroids, geological events on the continental scale, super volcano eruptions, poles flipping, the Earth coming closer to the Sun and then moving farther away, iron core rotation slowing down, the Sun swelling and dying. Unless we find a way to evolve into something capable of leaving this planet for good, we are going to go extinct. No carbon taxes and offsets are going to change anything. We are boiling as the proverbial frog, and everything we do is just ”feel good” measures.
    by throw1234567891
  • Cheap cooling vests distributed at scale, kept cool or "recharged" by a portable and unpluggable solar panel, seems necessary. Individual air conditioning is too expensive and most affected people need to work outside during the daytime.
    by energy123
  • > But this is something the world has never seen and I mean that literally

    Lets not forget there have been bigger and hotter events than this in local past.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1877%E2%80%931878_El_Ni%C3%B1o...

    You may tie this in to climate change in general to prove your point, but this is a discussion about El Nino weather event and it is important to remember the current situation is not unprecedented.

    by alt227
  • The future will be much worse. Some effects take years or decades to manifest and we wont see them during a relatively short event like El Niño.

    Eg: the severe disruption of the jet stream or the collapse of the AMOC.

    Plus all the long term feedbacks like methane etc.

    by pier25
  • Ministry for the Future ch. 1 scenario?

    https://www.scribd.com/document/979965270/Robinson-Kim-Stanl...

    by trevithick
  • It was inevitable we'd get to the point where climate change began substantially disrupting ecology and human livelihoods. Looks like we're ahead of schedule.

    People dying from extreme heatwaves, weather, and famines due to climate change has been predicted for decades at this point; and this is exactly the sort of climatic setup that will enable this to happen.

    by lukeify
  • People still actually pay attention to global warming forecasts? Err I mean climate change. I’m not a denier, in fact I’m quite a believer though not quite 100%, prolly closer to 80-90%. I mean the climate certainly changed a lot before humans. But count me out on people predicting 1.76 degrees higher next year…
    by futevolei
  • This feels ai generated, and doesn't get to the promised point of "what does it mean for us" forecasting in Europe or much more than a few sentences for the US.
    by djha-skin
  • The 1877 El Niño killed millions. We have better tech now, but also more people and more fragile supply chains. Not sure which side wins
    by ZeroDayDreamer
  • Are you asserting that supply chains in the year 2026 are more fragile than in 1877?
    by futevolei
  • Great write up but bummed to not see any info about the waves. It’s been a bonkers summer!
    by bix6
  • Check out stormsurf001 on YouTube. He’s been tracking the development of the El Niño for months now.

    I (SoCal) kinda hate El Niño. Seems like it always means way more weather (blown out days) and most reefs around here are maxed out beyond overhead. It’s nice to get lots of groundswell but I’ll take 2-3 and high pressure over 6-7 and rainy any day.

    by mlsu
  • I think you might be on to something: I am by no means a weather enthusiast or expert, nor do I live in California: the El Niños building up in 1997 and 2015 had similar seasons, 2023 not, the current fast onset and wave seasons (durable good surfable waves in winter) match especially well with 2015. 2023 was the exception but also slower onset. Also La Niña winters also had good winter conditions, but not as durable. So good surf conditions in NorCal outside of La Niña winters might be a visceral leading indicator for fast onset El Niño.
    by mitjam
  • Here is an article about the heat wave in Europe: https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/excessive-heat-...
    by dgellow
  • I don't know enough about climate science, but south swell usually is the result of west-to-east storms coming off of Australia. In Hawaii, this summer's south swell has been extremely consistent big swells. I imagine it's something like the west coast off South America heating up causes the balance of the southern hemisphere off Africa to counteract that.
    by dluan
  • I really tried to get through this. But sentences like this were confusing to me:

       In simple terms, the ocean surface anomalies are just the surface footprint of this massive subsurface warm core.
    by xrd
  • "In simple terms" should not preceed that sentence imo
    by yellow_lead
  • Yea, I will admit my imagination started to go off as I read that
    by sans_souse
  • To use an extremely inappropriate metaphor, they’re saying the warm temperatures at the surface are just the tip of the iceberg.
    by wat10000
  • I stumbled across this too but going back to the picture made the sentence easy to understand. Maybe the sentence would have worked better if it was located before the picture. (The picture shows a ramp going up to the right deep under the ocean surface - the subsurface warm core)
    by mitjam
  • There's a few AI tells in the article. The overuse of bolded text throughout - and the confusing sentences.
    by iamflimflam1
  • Area vs volume.

    If these are the temperatures on the surface, think of the depths. There is a whole additional dimension to multiply (integrate) across.

    The added energy is far greater than you might think simply by looking at the surface.

    by AnIrishDuck
  • The author is saying the surface of the ocean (where it's easiest to measure temps, so we do that the most) is the 'footprint' or the full colum of warm water below it. Additionally, like a footprint the surface area it represents might be smaller too as warm water continues to rise.
    by ddxv
  • I don't find that sentence confusing, but I definitely found the article poorly written. Here's the sixth nearly identical map and now let's repeat the exact same thing already stated five times or more while including one new sentence of detail. The density of actual information in the writing is so low that it's hard to follow.

    The article is so repetitive and padded out with empty prose that I found myself ignoring whole paragraphs. It's like the author decided to describe what an el niño is, then describe what an el niño is, then describe a super el niño, then describe what an el niño is, then describe what an el niño is, then describe what an el niño is, then describe the possible consequences of a super el niño, then describe what an el niño is, then describe what an el niño is, and finally describe what an el niño is.

    by da_chicken
  • We're expecting a dry and hot spring and summer this year in Australia (and our winter has been milder than average to boot). https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07-31/nsw-el-nino-weather-e...
    by martyvis