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  • All this dishonesty and shadiness is part of why open models feel inevitable. Even if the total cost of ownership is higher (debatable; seems that way at small scales, but likely not as you grow), I'd rather have intelligence controlled by me that works for me.

    The current period is as pro-customer as we're ever going to get, with cash still flying around and neither OpenAI nor Anthropic on the public market, and people are already forced into this sort of business to keep them true to their word. The point isn't even whether they're nerfing the models (I don't think they are), but that people can't seem to trust them to do right.

  • I 100% believe the models are being nerfed and feel it when I use it. Launch day LLM + the week it's released is fantastic. After they get all the press the nerfing starts. When they release a new model sometimes it's not significantly better, it's just not nerfed.
    by rw2
  • "Nerf"ing models isn't real in the vast majority of reported cases. Benchmarks like this or the 100 other "let's see if nerfing is real" copies would have shown it by now if it was.

    I made a graphic to explain why people feel like the models get nerfed:

    https://x.com/thesilenceturns/status/2103551351825543610

    The idea is that new models can handle up to a certain level of complexity, at which point they fall apart. Every new model can handle more complexity, so there's a wonderful time upon release when you feel like you can do anything, only for you to hit the complexity ceiling a few days later when you saturate it. Rinse and repeat for the next model.

  • Glad someone's keeping track. These threads always turn into “they made it dumber” vs “nah, you're imagining it.”

    A few bad answers can be annoying as hell, but who knows what's behind them. I'm curious to see how the numbers look after a few weeks. Props for tracking improvements too.

  • Given the tens of bot accounts in this thread making obviously misleading statements, I think you’re onto something here. Might be a good idea to open a Patreon or something, you probably need throwaway accounts to prevent anthropic from feeding you good models.
  • As a claude code power user, when I get the 'rate the feedback on Claude' pop up, I used to say good or fine out of habit, and immediately after sending this feedback, I felt an instant degradation and mistakes that usually don't happen.

    Now I dismiss it every time and the quality is more consistent.

    Complete adhoc and personal experience but something I've observed, wouldn't be surprised if they nerfed on a per session basis

  • > It could also mean nothing happened and people are pattern-matching on noise.

    It is definitely not this. Anthropic has thousands of employees making probably > 100,000+ tiny changes across the entire stack and infrastructure everyday.

    The compounding effect can definitely cause temporary regressions in some domain or use-case that doesn’t have really good coverage in their internal tests.

    What makes this particularly challenging in the case of LLMs is how changing some language in the prompt can vastly affect the output.

    But this is less true as models become larger and additional parameters are able to capture each and every possible nuance of the language. I’d say caching and cache tuning or token optimization/tweaks to thinking are the biggest culprits today.

  • We also have Nerf Bench:

    https://www.bridgebench.ai/nerf-bench

    They test it on launch day, then benchmark it against that. A deviation of above 10% is considered a change. They're currently tracking Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra.

    This bench famously detected a degradation of Opus 4.6 which Anthropic later blogged about. I personally think people sense nerfs more often than they happen and that it's often about honeymoon effects.

    by jug

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